The last time the Toronto Maple Leafs were in the Stanley cup playoffs was pre-lockout in the 2003-2004 hockey season. Since then the Leafs missed the playoffs for a miserable five consecutive years. However, ever since the regime under Brian Burke there has been significant overhaul to the team’s roster and dramatic changes have occurred since the Dion Phaneuf and Jean-Sebastian Giguiere acquisition last February. Although it can be argued the Leafs can and should contend to make this year’s playoffs, there is slim to no chance for them to be considered Stanley cup favourites.
With yesterday’s acquisition of Clarke MacArthurs to a one year contract worth 1.1 million the Leafs salary cap hit currently sits at 58.7 million dollars leaving them with roughly 2 million dollars in cap space for the 2011 campaign. Examining the Leafs roster in greater detail it would appear on opening night their roster would include, 2 goaltenders, 9 defensemen and 12 forwards for a grand total of 23 players with the big club. With promising forward prospects such as Kadri, Mueller, Hanson and D’Amigo not included in the 23 man roster in grows the speculation that Burke and management will need to shorten their list of defensemen.
With the trade speculation quieting down regarding Kaberle, the thoughts have to be focusing on what to do with Jeff Finger and his 3.5 million dollar salary. It would be great (but almost impossible) if the Leafs could trade him away for anything even if it was to a division rival. The most likely case for Finger seems to be he will be placed on waivers and sent down to the Marlies. Finger will not be the happiest camper about this but at least he will then be in the Marlies line up every night, still able to live in Toronto and not have to re-locate his family. Lashoff can also start the season down in the AHL and receive big time minutes there while also keeping the Leafs defensemen on their toes. Expect for opening night the Leafs defence to be: Kaberle, Phaneuf, Komisarek, Beauchemin, Schenn and Gunnarsson with Lebda being the healthy scratch. With the crazy depth at defence their will be great inner competition for NHL spots which could lead this year’s Leafs defence core to be one of the strongest in the league.
With Finger being sent down, this will also help create great competition for a rookie to make the opening day roster up front. Early odds would give this opportunity to Kadri who is a highly skilled centre man who played most of his junior career with the London Knights. It is highly known that the centre ice position is the leafs greatest weakness and Kadri should be able to improve this problem. Whether or not he can be a first or second line centre already is the million dollar question asked around Leaf nation. For opening night as of right now you can expect to see a roster looking as follows:
Versteeg Bozak Kessel
MacAarthur Kadri Kulemin
Caputi Grabovski Armstrong
Brown Mitchell Orr (spare Sjostrom)
This is a respectable forward crop that has some young talent but will be hard pressed to fill the net on a consistent base this year. If the Leafs could somehow swing one more deal to find a true number one centre that would be the ideal scenario. By getting a true number one centre it would relieve pressure on Kadri, and give Kessel a true playmaker to relieve the pressure on himself too. The Leafs should consider parting with Kaberlee, Grabovski and even Bozak if needed. Although Bozak is a young and promising player he could be deemed expendable if the Leafs could have an all-star calibre centre men and Kadri for years to come. If the Leafs are unable to lock down a number one centre it will make the task of making the playoffs that much tougher and by no means a guarantee.
Overall though the Eastern conference has arguably four “guarantee” playoff teams being: Washington, Pittsburgh, Boston and Philadelphia. The Devils should make the playoffs but they are no guarantee with a new head coach in place and the major roster changes that may still need to take place there if Kovalchuck finally signs. Tampa Bay and Buffalo are two teams the Leafs will need to win the season series against and those two teams are favourites of most to make the playoffs for obvious reasons. Therefore breaking this down there are: 4 guarantees, 3 good odd teams to make the playoffs and the Leafs would fall right behind in the eight spot. The scary thing though is this does not take into consideration Carolina who was one of the hottest teams post Olympics last year, or the Montreal Canadiens, New York Rangers and Ottawa Senators who will all be determined to make the playoffs this year as well.
In summary the Leafs will make the playoffs for sure if:
a.)They acquire a first line centre ( even at the expense of Kaberle or Bozak)
b.)They win the season series against teams such as the Lightning, Devils and Sabres
c.)Teams such as Carolina, Ottawa and Montreal don’t play above their heads
d.)The defence core has healthy competition
e.)Young forward prospers compete for open roster spots
f.)Finger gets sent down to open up needed cap space
Toronto Maple Leaf Odds for 2010 – 2011
Toronto Maple Leafs Stanley Cup Odds = +6000
Toronto Maple Leafs Eastern Conference Champ Odds =+2500
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Full 2010 – 2011 Stanley Cup Odds
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